Previous case for September liftoff was pretty strong
Previous case for Sept liftoff wasn’t conclusive
Wouldn’t want to decide now on liftoff
Confidence ‘pretty high’ that inflation will get back to 2%
Some factors affecting inflation are temporary
Still need to watch the impact of yuan depreciation
“We don’t have a whole lot of inflation going on so we don’t have to move immediately”
US close to full employment
US economy “working pretty well”
“We’re getting back to normal and at some point we’ll want to show that”
“I think [markets] could settle fairly quickly”
Signals that China was the trigger for market volatility
Direct affect of China on US is reasonably small
“We’re heading in that direct” (toward hikes), notes importance of next week’s jobs data
Fed has time to wait and see incoming data
Would want to wait awhile after first hike before doing anything else
Hawkish comments from Fischer keep a rate hike on the table for September. The US dollar and stocks starting to feel some heat.